Blog Archives

BOT Short Signal at 1310

I am putting the BOT short signal back on again on the sp500 at 1310.  The bounce is not arriving and I would rather put the signal on now.  Whether we bounce 10 or 20 sp points from here seems to be a mute point for now.

Yesterday was a HUGE sign of weakness and today is the shock factor after the fact. 

Read more ›

Posted in SP500, Trading Cycles
Tags:

MACD of the Monthly Inflation Rate Since 1914

I started to get really tired of people talking about the inflation rate lately with endless guesses about what inflation might or might not do so I decided to take matters into my own hands.  I just plotted the MACD and MACD histogram indicator against the monthly inflation rate going all the way back to 1914. 

Read more ›

Posted in stock market economics, Trading Cycles
Tags:

Marty Armstrong Cycle Model Nailed the Top in Real Estate in 2007

The 8.6 year global cycle model of Marty Armstrong nailed almost perfectly the exact top in the IYR real estate index in February 2007.  The exact date was February 25th, 2007.   I find it quite fascinating that his 8.6 year cycle model nailed the exact turn in the real estate market and yet it appears he gets no credit for it in mainstream media

Read more ›

Posted in Long Term Charts, Long Term Trading, SP500, stock market economics, Technical Analysis, Trading Cycles
Tags:

The Latest from Marty Armstrong

A recent report was sent out by Marty Armstrong on January 5, 2011.  It is a worthwhile read as he discusses a little bit the June 13, 2011 turning point and also talks about gold and some other markets as well.

The middle of page 3 is a good place to start.

Read more ›

Posted in Long Term Trading, Trading Cycles
Tags:

Trading the Parabola Again

A comment poster recently asked me to take a look at ARMH stock for some clues as to whether it was in a good buy zone.  I indicated that ARMH was probably overextended and not at a good risk reward entry point.  Sure enough a few days later the stock shot up from 21 to almost 30 in just a few trading days.

Read more ›

Posted in Long Term Charts, Long Term Trading, Market Timing, SP500, Technical Analysis, Trading Cycles
Tags:

Marty Armstrong and Armstrong Economics dot com

If you are interesting in the economy and fundamental side of the markets then you may want to check out the writings of Martin Armstrong.  He is probably one of the most brilliant economists ever in no small part due to the fact that he came up with a precise cycle model that has pinpointed often to the exact day,

Read more ›

Posted in stock market economics, Trading Cycles, Trading News
Tags:

Unemployment Rate to Start Falling into end of 2010 and early 2011

Over the weekend I created what I consider to be an absolutely fascinating chart of the unemployment rate going all the way back to February 1st, 1948.  I plotted the unemployment rate based on the monthly figures I have going back to 1948.  So the chart you will see below is essentially a monthly price chart except that the data is the monthly unemployment rate instead of stock prices.

Read more ›

Posted in Technical Analysis, Trading Cycles
Tags:

34 year Gold Seasonal Chart

seasonalgc

In case you have not seen it yet, the above chart is the 34 year seasonal chart of Gold from MRCI.  You can see clearly from this chart that after a final low at the end of August (which is only 14 trading days away from today),

Read more ›

Posted in Gold Market, Trading Cycles
Tags:

The Most Powerful Cycle Model Ever Created

In case you do not know about it yet, I would like to tell you about what I believe to be the most powerful cycle model ever created.  I did not create it.  It was created by a man named Marty Armstrong who headed the former Princeton Economics Institute which was an institutional advisory and money management firm. 

Read more ›

Posted in Long Term Trading, Stock Trading Tools, Trading Cycles
Tags:

Preview to the Marty Armstrong Cycle Post

Next week sometime I am going to write a post on the Marty Armstrong cycle turning points.  It will be more of a long term oriented posting, but I am going to try to include an extended version of his global business cycle model and create one in graphical form so that it will be extended out another 50 years from now.

Read more ›

Posted in Online Trading, Trading Cycles
Tags:

s2Member®