US Dollar Index to Decide on Bull or Bear Scenario

The US Dollar Index is at an important juncture.  On the long term monthly candlestick chart the US Dollar Index has shown us that it has broken down through and out of a very large symmetrical triangle formation.  This was very bearish action and seems to imply much more longer term bearish action for the US Dollar index.

The problem is that sometimes symmetrical triangles on all time frames turn into failures and busted patterns.   A busted pattern symmetrical triangle exists when you first get a downside breakthrough out of a symmetrical triangle and then the price loses downside momentum, reverses, and then busts back up inside the structure of the symmetrical triangle and then busts back up topside in an upside breakout of the pattern.  Busted patterns can be very powerful signals on all time frames.

The location of the US Dollar Index right now on the monthly chart is not suggesting to me that we are about to be in a busted pattern, but the chart is showing that there could be some potential for a busted pattern to occur.

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A Mega 10 to 15 year Bull Market in Commodities

I was contemplating a little bit the MACD of the monthly inflation rate chart I posted a few days ago this past weekend and it occurred to me after reflecting on the yearly portion of that chart that we have not really even begun the commodity bull market.  If you look carefully at the yearly … Read more

UUP US Dollar Index ETF Struggling near Head and Shoulders Neckline

The UUP ETF is currently in somewhat of an interesting juncture.  The UUP US Dollar Index ETF has recently made a second attempt to break back up and through the neckline resistance level that defines a somewhat large head and shoulders topping pattern. This neckline level of 23.5 on the UUP is key resistance.  We … Read more